Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: CALI (COLOMBIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 January 2023, Tuesday


	Emiliana Arango		Carol Zhao

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.61	2.28
	1.6	2.16
	1.74	2.11
	1.62	2.2
	1.81	1.98	Watch
	1.64	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.82)	2.17 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emiliana Arango
56.7%

Carol Zhao
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emiliana Arango's performance.

Carol Zhao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Carol Zhao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emiliana Arango that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carol Zhao than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Carol Zhao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	0%	68.7%

Emiliana Arango - Carol Zhao Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Arango will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Zhao will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zhao: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Zhao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arango will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arango won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emiliana Arango
ITF Tournaments
20.01.23	Emiliana Arango - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
19.01.23	Hailey Baptiste - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
18.01.23	Emiliana Arango - Caijsa Wilda Hennemann	2:0 ✺
14.01.23	Emma Navarro - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
13.01.23	Vera Lapko - Emiliana Arango	Arango E. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWL?
- Carol Zhao
WTA Australian Open
10.01.23	Carol Zhao - Clara Burel	1:2 ✺
09.01.23	Carol Zhao - Eudice Wong Chong	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.12.22	Miyu Kato - Carol Zhao	2:0 ✺
22.12.22	Carol Zhao - Luksika Kumkhum	2:0 ✺
21.12.22	Carol Zhao - Ramu Ueda	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.07.22	Emiliana Arango - Carol Zhao	0:2
15.07.21	Emiliana Arango - Carol Zhao	2:1

Emiliana Arango - Carol Zhao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide