Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Bastad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 July 2026, Monday


	Emiliana Arango		Lea Nilsson

	1	2
			Watch
	1.30	3.30
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.31	3.55
	1.29	3.25	Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.29	3.27	Watch
	1.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.39)	3.34 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Emiliana Arango
72%

Lea Nilsson
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emiliana Arango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Emiliana Arango's performance.

Lea Nilsson has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lea Nilsson might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emiliana Arango than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lea Nilsson than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Emiliana Arango - Lea Nilsson Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Arango will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nilsson will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Arango is ranked WTA: 97. Nilsson is ranked WTA: 486.

Recent performances by Arango have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nilsson is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Arango may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Arango is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emiliana Arango
WTA Wimbledon
29.06.26	Anastasia Gasanova - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
WTA Eastbourne
24.06.26	Caty McNally - Emiliana Arango	2:0 ✺
22.06.26	Maya Joint - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
21.06.26	Sofia Johnson - Emiliana Arango	0:2 ✺
20.06.26	Emiliana Arango - Alycia Parks	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLWWW
- Lea Nilsson
ITF Tournaments
21.06.26	Lea Nilsson - Madison Sieg	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Lea Nilsson - Thea Frodin	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Lea Nilsson - Linea Bajraliu	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Vivian Wolff - Lea Nilsson	Wolff V. Retired ✺
16.06.26	Sonja Rooth - Lea Nilsson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWW?W

Emiliana Arango - Lea Nilsson: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide