Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W25 SHARM ELSHEIKH 4 (EGYPT), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 November 2022, Wednesday


	Emily Welker		Merna Refaat

	1	2
	1.25	3.4
	1.23	3.7
	1.23	3.45
	1.25	3.75
	1.26	3.54	Watch
	1.24	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)	3.57 ↑ (3.08)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emily Welker
74.1%

Merna Refaat
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emily Welker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Merna Refaat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emily Welker than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Emily Welker that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merna Refaat than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merna Refaat could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Welker is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Refaat in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Welker could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Welker is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emily Welker
ITF Tournaments
13.11.22	Manon Leonard - Emily Welker	2:0 ✺
12.11.22	Emily Welker - Karola Patricia Bejenaru	2:0 ✺
11.11.22	Emily Welker - Sarah Iliev	2:1 ✺
10.11.22	Emily Welker - Amelia Waligora	2:0 ✺
09.11.22	Emily Welker - Yanni Liu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW
- Merna Refaat
ITF Tournaments
06.11.22	Merna Refaat - Sarah Iliev	2:0 ✺
05.11.22	Eleni Kordolaimi - Merna Refaat	0:2 ✺
04.11.22	Helena Mohamed - Merna Refaat	0:2 ✺
03.11.22	Merna Refaat - Adriana Rajkovic	2:0 ✺
01.11.22	Yanni Liu - Merna Refaat	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.2 WWWWW

Emily Welker - Merna Refaat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide