Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Gaborone 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 May 2026, Wednesday


	Emma Van Poppel		Danielle Dai Chapman

	1	2
	3.9	1.26
	3.6	1.24	Watch
	3.6	1.22
	3.65	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (2.7)	1.24 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emma Van Poppel
25.2%

Danielle Dai Chapman
74.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emma Van Poppel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emma Van Poppel's form might have worsened.

Danielle Dai Chapman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Danielle Dai Chapman's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emma Van Poppel than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emma Van Poppel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danielle Dai Chapman than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Danielle Dai Chapman, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Emma Van Poppel - Danielle Dai Chapman Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Van Poppel is ranked WTA: 1125.

Van Poppel has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chapman has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Chapman may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Chapman is a strong favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emma Van Poppel
ITF Tournaments
12.05.26	Dominika Podhajecka - Emma Van Poppel	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Tia Messerli - Emma Van Poppel	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Darja Suvirdjonkova - Emma Van Poppel	2:0 ✺
23.04.26	Freya Peet - Emma Van Poppel	1:2 ✺
01.04.26	Madhurima Sawant - Emma Van Poppel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWL
- Danielle Dai Chapman
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Dune Vaissaud - Danielle Dai Chapman	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Danielle Dai Chapman - Elena Jamshidi	2:1 ✺
05.05.26	Morgan Jordaan - Danielle Dai Chapman	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Danielle Dai Chapman - Selina Atay	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Onalee Wagner - Danielle Dai Chapman	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWLW

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