Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Ystad, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Enola Chiesa		Katerina Tsygourova

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.53
	2.65	1.42
	2.52	1.54
	2.44	1.48	Watch
	2.38	1.50
	2.47	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (3.23)	1.49 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Enola Chiesa
37.7%

Katerina Tsygourova
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Enola Chiesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Enola Chiesa's performance.

Katerina Tsygourova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Katerina Tsygourova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Enola Chiesa than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Enola Chiesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Katerina Tsygourova than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Katerina Tsygourova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Enola Chiesa - Katerina Tsygourova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Chiesa is ranked WTA: 546. Tsygourova is ranked WTA: 452.

Chiesa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tsygourova is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Chiesa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tsygourova is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Tsygourova will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Enola Chiesa
ITF Tournaments
28.05.26	Enola Chiesa - Gina Marie Dittmann	0:2 ✺
27.05.26	Enola Chiesa - Vaishnavi Adkar	2:1 ✺
21.05.26	Enola Chiesa - Natalija Senic	1:2 ✺
20.05.26	Oceane Babel - Enola Chiesa	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Anouck Vrancken Peeters - Enola Chiesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWLWL
- Katerina Tsygourova
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Mina Hodzic	0:2 ✺
07.06.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Ziva Falkner	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Dora Miskovic	2:0 ✺
05.06.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Eszter Meri	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Katerina Tsygourova - Barbora Michalkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWWWW

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