Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Enrique Carrascosa Diaz		Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas

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Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
60.9%

Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Enrique Carrascosa Diaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Enrique Carrascosa Diaz's form might have worsened.

Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas's recent form is better than expected.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Carrascosa Diaz is ranked ATP: 1270. Cervantes Tomas is ranked ATP: 1488.

Carrascosa Diaz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Carrascosa Diaz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Enrique Carrascosa Diaz
ITF Tournaments
26.08.26	Ivan Gakhov - Enrique Carrascosa Diaz	2:1 ✺
15.07.26	Enrique Carrascosa Diaz - Javier Barranco Cosano	Carrascosa Diaz E. Retired ✺
02.07.26	Marcel Zielinski - Enrique Carrascosa Diaz	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Enrique Carrascosa Diaz - Jorge Mendieta	2:0
24.06.26	Enrique Carrascosa Diaz - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 L?LWL
- Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
ITF Tournaments
18.08.26	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Noah Lopez Cherubino - Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas	2:0 ✺
12.08.25	Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas - Michiel De Krom	0:2 ✺
25.06.25	Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas - Adria Soriano Barrera	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas - Joan Torres Espinosa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas - Joaquin Guilleme	✺

Enrique Carrascosa Diaz - Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas