Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Grodzisk Mazowiecki - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 3 August 2026, Monday


	Ergi Kirkin		Oskari Paldanius

	1	2
			Watch
	2.00	1.70
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	1.98	1.81
	2.02	1.7	Watch
	1.91	1.86
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	1.95	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.71)	1.73 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ergi Kirkin
46.5%

Oskari Paldanius
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ergi Kirkin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ergi Kirkin's form might have worsened.

Oskari Paldanius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oskari Paldanius's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ergi Kirkin than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ergi Kirkin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oskari Paldanius than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oskari Paldanius, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Ergi Kirkin - Oskari Paldanius Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kirkin will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Paldanius will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Kirkin is ranked ATP: 595. Paldanius is ranked ATP: 1083.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Kirkin may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ergi Kirkin
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Ergi Kirkin - Kacper Szymkowiak	2:0 ✺
28.07.26	Ergi Kirkin - Paul Inchauspe	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.07.26	Ergi Kirkin - William Mirarchi	1:2 ✺
08.07.26	Ergi Kirkin - Valentin Vanta	2:0 ✺
01.07.26	Hazem Naw - Ergi Kirkin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLWL
- Oskari Paldanius
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Oskari Paldanius - Leo Raquillet	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Oskari Paldanius - Franco Roncadelli	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.07.26	Oskari Paldanius - Max Wiskandt	0:2 ✺
17.07.26	Oskari Paldanius - Theo Papamalamis	2:1 ✺
16.07.26	Andrej Martin - Oskari Paldanius	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLLWW

Ergi Kirkin - Oskari Paldanius: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide