Match Info

Date: 11 December 2020, Friday


	Erik Crepaldi		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.72	1.95
	1.67	2.1
	1.65	2.03
	1.69	2.08
	1.7	2
	1.66	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.6)	2.06 ↓ (2.3)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erik Crepaldi
55.1%

Mariano Navone
44.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erik Crepaldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erik Crepaldi than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erik Crepaldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	0%	58.3%

Erik Crepaldi - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Crepaldi will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Navone will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 30.4% – 86.2%.

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Preview

Two players has got a chain of failures in the last matches.

Navone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erik Crepaldi
ITF Tournaments
10.12.20	Erik Crepaldi - Ignacio Monzon	2:0 ✺
09.12.20	Erik Crepaldi - Emiliano Maggioli	2:1 ✺
05.12.20	Erik Crepaldi - Carlos Sanchez Jover	0:2 ✺
04.12.20	Karim-Mohamed Maamoun - Erik Crepaldi	0:2 ✺
02.12.20	Erik Crepaldi - Stefano Baldoni	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Mariano Navone
ITF Tournaments
10.12.20	Mariano Navone - Adam El Mihdawy	2:0 ✺
09.12.20	Mariano Navone - Muthu Aadhitiya Senthilkumar	2:0 ✺
25.11.20	Mariano Navone - Niels Visker	1:2 ✺
20.11.20	Aldin Setkic - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
19.11.20	Mariano Navone - Niels Visker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WWLLW

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