Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Zagreb, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 May 2026, Wednesday


	Erika Andreeva		Tena Lukas

	1	2
			Watch
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.5	2.38
	1.57	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.61)	2.28 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erika Andreeva
59.4%

Tena Lukas
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erika Andreeva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Tena Lukas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erika Andreeva than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Erika Andreeva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tena Lukas than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tena Lukas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Andreeva is ranked WTA: 306. Lukas is ranked WTA: 473.

Andreeva is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lukas has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Andreeva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Andreeva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Andreeva won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Erika Andreeva - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erika Andreeva
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Erika Andreeva - Tara Wurth	2:0 ✺
07.05.26	Erika Andreeva - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Margaux Rouvroy - Erika Andreeva	0:2 ✺
30.04.26	Erika Andreeva - Jeline Vandromme	Andreeva E. Retired ✺
29.04.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Erika Andreeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLW?W
- Tena Lukas
ITF Tournaments
13.05.26	Tena Lukas - Joanna Garland	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Dunja Maric - Tena Lukas	2:1 ✺
01.04.26	Alice Rame - Tena Lukas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.03.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Tena Lukas	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Tena Lukas - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova	Pavlyuchenkova A. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLL?

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