Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W25 PERTH 2 (AUSTRALIA), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 21 September 2023, Thursday


	Erika Sema		Naho Sato

	1	2
	1.72	2
	1.99	1.79
	1.91	1.8
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.95	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.69)	1.82 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erika Sema
48.7%

Naho Sato
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5%

43.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erika Sema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erika Sema's form might have worsened.

Naho Sato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Naho Sato's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erika Sema than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erika Sema, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naho Sato than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naho Sato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Sema is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sato is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sato could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Erika Sema
ITF Tournaments
20.09.23	Misaki Matsuda - Erika Sema	Matsuda M. retired ✺
19.09.23	Ivana Popovic - Erika Sema	0:2 ✺
29.08.23	Anchisa Chanta - Erika Sema	Canceled ✺
15.08.23	Jenna Defalco - Erika Sema	2:0 ✺
04.08.23	Erika Sema - Aliona Falei	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 ?W?LL
- Naho Sato
ITF Tournaments
21.09.23	Lily Fairclough - Naho Sato	0:2 ✺
18.09.23	Naho Sato - Petra Hule	Canceled ✺
13.09.23	Naho Sato - Petra Hule	0:2 ✺
06.09.23	Naho Sato - Aliona Falei	1:2 ✺
30.08.23	Sohyun Park - Naho Sato	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 W?LLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naho Sato
ITF Tournaments
08.10.26	Haruka Kaji - Naho Sato	✺

Erika Sema - Naho Sato: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide