Match Info

Date: 4 August 2022, Thursday


	Ernests Gulbis		Alexandre Muller

	1	2
	1.8	1.9	Watch
	1.8	1.9
	1.78	1.9
	1.57	2.25
	1.8	1.97	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.49)	1.98 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ernests Gulbis
53.1%

Alexandre Muller
46.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ernests Gulbis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ernests Gulbis's performance.

Alexandre Muller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexandre Muller might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ernests Gulbis than the current prediction. (-16.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ernests Gulbis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexandre Muller could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	0%	68.4%

Ernests Gulbis - Alexandre Muller Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Gulbis will win (votes: 12 - 31.6%). Muller will win (votes: 26 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muller: 53.6% – 83.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Right away both players are in a satisfying form.

Gulbis could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Muller will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Muller to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ernests Gulbis
ATP Challenger
03.08.22	Ernests Gulbis - Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo	2:0 ✺
31.07.22	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Ernests Gulbis	2:1 ✺
30.07.22	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Ernests Gulbis	0:2 ✺
29.07.22	Ernests Gulbis - Dennis Novak	2:0 ✺
28.07.22	Ernests Gulbis - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WLWWW
- Alexandre Muller
ATP Challenger
01.08.22	Riccardo Bonadio - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
23.07.22	Zhizhen Zhang - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
22.07.22	Alexandre Muller - Franco Agamenone	2:1 ✺
20.07.22	Alexandre Muller - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
18.07.22	Alexandre Muller - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WLWWW

Ernests Gulbis - Alexandre Muller: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide