The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ernests Gulbis 39.2%
Sebastian Fanselow 60.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
52.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.6%
50.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ernests Gulbis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ernests Gulbis's form might have worsened.
Sebastian Fanselow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sebastian Fanselow's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ernests Gulbis than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ernests Gulbis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Fanselow than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sebastian Fanselow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Ernests Gulbis - Sebastian Fanselow Predictions
Users Predictions:
Ernests Gulbis will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.
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Preview
Recent matches Gulbis is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Fanselow is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fanselow could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.