Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Porto 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday


	Eva Guerrero Alvarez		Aliona Falei

	1	2
			Watch
	2.5	1.45	Watch
	3.07	1.39
	2.93	1.35	Watch
	2.63	1.4
	2.89	1.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.17)	1.39 ↓ (1.6)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eva Guerrero Alvarez
33.1%

Aliona Falei
66.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eva Guerrero Alvarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eva Guerrero Alvarez's form might have worsened.

Aliona Falei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aliona Falei's recent form is better than expected.

Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Aliona Falei Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Guerrero Alvarez is ranked WTA: 261. Falei is ranked WTA: 325.

Falei is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Guerrero Alvarez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Falei will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Falei will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guerrero Alvarez won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Eva Guerrero Alvarez - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 42.42%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eva Guerrero Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
24.02.26	Celia Cervino Ruiz - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Lea Boskovic	Canceled ✺
27.01.26	Nellie Taraba Wallberg - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	Guerrero Alvarez E. retired ✺
02.12.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Enola Chiesa	Canceled ✺
29.11.25	Kayla Cross - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 W???W
- Aliona Falei
ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	Aliona Falei - Camilla Rosatello	2:0 ✺
21.02.26	Julie Belgraver - Aliona Falei	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Aliona Falei - Jenny Lim	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Isabella Maria Serban - Aliona Falei	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Aliona Falei - Francesca Pace	Pace F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
24.04.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Aliona Falei	2:1
27.09.23	Aliona Falei - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2

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