Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Caldas da Rainha - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 15 September 2025, Monday


	Eva Guerrero Alvarez		Ashley Lahey

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.67	2.1
			Watch
	1.74	2.01	Watch
	1.78	2.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.53)	2.04 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eva Guerrero Alvarez
54.1%

Ashley Lahey
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eva Guerrero Alvarez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Eva Guerrero Alvarez's form might have worsened.

Ashley Lahey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ashley Lahey's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eva Guerrero Alvarez than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Eva Guerrero Alvarez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ashley Lahey than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ashley Lahey, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Ashley Lahey Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guerrero Alvarez will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lahey will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Lahey (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Guerrero Alvarez is ranked WTA: 371. Lahey is ranked WTA: 570.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Guerrero Alvarez might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eva Guerrero Alvarez
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Yana Morderger	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Alina Korneeva	0:2 ✺
10.09.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Ines Murta	2:1 ✺
03.09.25	Francisca Jorge - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Viktoria Hruncakova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WLWLL
- Ashley Lahey
ATP Challenger
14.09.25	Ashley Lahey - Anouck Vrancken Peeters	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Kristina Dmitruk - Ashley Lahey	2:1 ✺
10.09.25	Ashley Lahey - Ella McDonald	2:1 ✺
02.09.25	Linda Fruhvirtova - Ashley Lahey	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Ashley Lahey - Alice Gillan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWLW

Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Ashley Lahey: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide