Match Info

Date: 24 September 2020, Thursday


	Eva Guerrero Alvarez		Sara Errani

	1	2
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.23	1.63	Watch
	2.13	1.64
	2.16	1.71
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.22	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.69)	1.64 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eva Guerrero Alvarez
42.9%

Sara Errani
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

64.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eva Guerrero Alvarez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eva Guerrero Alvarez's performance.

Sara Errani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sara Errani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eva Guerrero Alvarez than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eva Guerrero Alvarez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sara Errani than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sara Errani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.2%	0%	84.8%

Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Sara Errani Predictions

Users Predictions: Sara Errani will win (39 of 46 users predict this - 84.78%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.4% – 95.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Errani could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eva Guerrero Alvarez
WTA Roland Garros
22.09.20	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.09.20	Magdalena Frech - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	2:0 ✺
10.09.20	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Viktorija Golubic	2:1 ✺
09.09.20	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Helene Pellicano	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.08.20	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Isabella Shinikova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWWL
- Sara Errani
WTA Roland Garros
22.09.20	Ekaterine Gorgodze - Sara Errani	0:2 ✺
WTA Roma
12.09.20	Irina-Camelia Begu - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.09.20	Clara Tauson - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
30.08.20	Paula Ormaechea - Sara Errani	1:2 ✺
WTA Palermo
07.08.20	Fiona Ferro - Sara Errani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLLWL

Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Sara Errani: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide