Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W40 PALMA DEL RIO (SPAIN), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 29 June 2023, Thursday


	Eva Guerrero Alvarez		Varvara Lepchenko

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.1	1.67
	2.11	1.68
	2.2	1.62
	2.09	1.66	Watch
	2.06	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.35)	1.66 ↑ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eva Guerrero Alvarez
44.1%

Varvara Lepchenko
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eva Guerrero Alvarez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eva Guerrero Alvarez than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eva Guerrero Alvarez that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varvara Lepchenko could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Lepchenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lepchenko will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eva Guerrero Alvarez
ITF Tournaments
28.06.23	Ena Koike - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	0:2 ✺
21.06.23	Naho Sato - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	2:0 ✺
19.06.23	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
08.06.23	Ayla Aksu - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Valentina Ryser - Eva Guerrero Alvarez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWLL
- Varvara Lepchenko
ITF Tournaments
28.06.23	Varvara Lepchenko - Berfu Cengiz	Cengiz B. retired ✺
31.05.23	Sakura Hosogi - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1 ✺
27.05.23	Katarina Stresnakova - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
26.05.23	Varvara Lepchenko - Jessica Failla	2:0 ✺
25.05.23	Amelie Van Impe - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 ?LLWW

Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Varvara Lepchenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide