Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 January 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	03:40	Max
Croatia	02:40	Max
Czech Republic	02:40	Max
Denmark	02:40	Max
Finland	03:40	Max
France	02:40	Max
Germany	02:40	Discovery+
Hungary	02:40	Max
Italy	02:40	Discovery+
Norway	02:40	MAX
Poland	02:40	Max
Romania	03:40	Max
Serbia	02:40	Max
Slovenia	02:40	Max
Sweden	02:40	Max
United Kingdom	01:40	Discovery+ UK


	Eva Lys		Jaqueline Adina Cristian

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.52	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.51	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.56	2.6	Watch
	1.52	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.91)	2.56 ↑ (1.93)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eva Lys
62.7%

Jaqueline Adina Cristian
37.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eva Lys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Eva Lys's performance.

Jaqueline Adina Cristian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jaqueline Adina Cristian might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eva Lys than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Eva Lys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jaqueline Adina Cristian than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jaqueline Adina Cristian could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Eva Lys - Jaqueline Adina Cristian Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Lys will win (votes: 14 - 40%). Cristian will win (votes: 21 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cristian: 43.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lys is ranked WTA: 128. Cristian is ranked WTA: 82.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Cristian could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Lys won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:3 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eva Lys
WTA Australian Open
15.01.25	Eva Lys - Varvara Gracheva	2:1 ✺
08.01.25	Destanee Aiava - Eva Lys	2:1 ✺
07.01.25	Arina Rodionova - Eva Lys	0:2 ✺
06.01.25	Hanne Van De Winkel - Eva Lys	0:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
26.12.24	Polona Hercog - Eva Lys	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWW?
- Jaqueline Adina Cristian
WTA Australian Open
16.01.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Lucia Bronzetti	2:0 ✺
13.01.25	Petra Martic - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	1:2 ✺
WTA Adelaide
03.01.25	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Kamilla Rakhimova	1:2 ✺
WTA Auckland
01.01.25	Madison Keys - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:0 ✺
30.12.24	Yulia Starodubtseva - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	Starodubtseva Y. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.06.24	Jaqueline Adina Cristian - Eva Lys	1:2
WTA Dubai
16.02.24	Eva Lys - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:1
WTA Cluj Napoca
19.10.23	Eva Lys - Jaqueline Adina Cristian	2:1

Eva Lys - Jaqueline Adina Cristian