Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: LITTLE ROCK (USA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 31 May 2023, Wednesday


	Evan Zhu		Aziz Dougaz

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.45	1.57
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.46	1.5	Watch
	2.28	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.95)	1.55 ↓ (1.78)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evan Zhu
39.7%

Aziz Dougaz
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1%

49.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evan Zhu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evan Zhu's form might have worsened.

Aziz Dougaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aziz Dougaz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evan Zhu than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evan Zhu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aziz Dougaz than the current prediction. (-10.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aziz Dougaz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Evan Zhu - Aziz Dougaz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Zhu will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Dougaz will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Zhu is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Dougaz is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zhu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dougaz will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Zhu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evan Zhu
ATP Challenger
29.05.23	Evan Zhu - Tristan Boyer	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.05.23	Ernesto Escobedo - Evan Zhu	2:0 ✺
19.05.23	Jesse Flores - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
18.05.23	Adrien Burdet - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
16.05.23	Alan Sau Franco - Evan Zhu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWWW
- Aziz Dougaz
ATP Challenger
30.05.23	Skander Mansouri - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
25.05.23	Aziz Dougaz - Mate Valkusz	0:2 ✺
25.05.23	Aziz Dougaz - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:1 ✺
23.05.23	Aziz Dougaz - Louis Wessels	2:1 ✺
18.05.23	Aziz Dougaz - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.11.16	Aziz Dougaz - Evan Zhu	2:1

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