Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Kayseri 2 (Turkey), hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday


	Evgenii Tiurnev		Mirza Basic

	1	2
	5.2	1.12
	5.28	1.12	Watch
	5.42	1.12
	5.2	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.28 ↑ (2.64)	1.12 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evgenii Tiurnev
17.5%

Mirza Basic
82.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

65.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evgenii Tiurnev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evgenii Tiurnev's form might have worsened.

Mirza Basic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mirza Basic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evgenii Tiurnev than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evgenii Tiurnev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirza Basic than the current prediction. (-17.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mirza Basic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Tiurnev is ranked ATP: 351. Basic is ranked ATP: 581.

Now both players are in good shape.

Basic could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Basic is indisputable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tiurnev won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evgenii Tiurnev
ITF Tournaments
23.10.24	Evgenii Tiurnev - Abel Forger	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Evgenii Tiurnev - Alexandr Binda	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Evgenii Tiurnev - Attila Boros	2:0 ✺
25.09.24	Evgenii Tiurnev - Saveliy Ivanov	2:0 ✺
22.09.24	Evgenii Tiurnev - Tomasz Berkieta	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWW
- Mirza Basic
ITF Tournaments
24.10.24	Joe Leather - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Andrea Fiorentini - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
17.10.24	Jan Kupcic - Mirza Basic	1:2 ✺
16.10.24	Josip Simundza - Mirza Basic	0:2 ✺
26.09.24	Mirza Basic - Andrej Nedic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
12.03.21	Mirza Basic - Evgenii Tiurnev	0:2

Evgenii Tiurnev - Mirza Basic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide