Match Info

Date: 26 November 2021, Friday


	Evgeny Karlovskiy		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	3	1.34
	2.9	1.34
	3.08	1.38
	3.04	1.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.05 ↑ (2.4)	1.35 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Evgeny Karlovskiy
30.7%

Nuno Borges
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

63.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Evgeny Karlovskiy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Evgeny Karlovskiy's form might have worsened.

Nuno Borges has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nuno Borges's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evgeny Karlovskiy than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Evgeny Karlovskiy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nuno Borges, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	0%	70.8%

Evgeny Karlovskiy - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Karlovskiy will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). Borges will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 52.6% – 89%.

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Preview

Recent matches Karlovskiy is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Borges is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Karlovskiy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Borges will have a mini benefit in this match.

Borges will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Evgeny Karlovskiy
ATP Challenger
24.11.21	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Johannes Haerteis	2:0 ✺
22.11.21	Mirza Basic - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
08.11.21	Mirza Basic - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
ATP St Petersburg
24.10.21	Miomir Kecmanovic - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.21	Kamil Majchrzak - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLLL
- Nuno Borges
ATP Challenger
24.11.21	Nuno Borges - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
23.11.21	Nuno Borges - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
05.11.21	Fernando Verdasco - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
03.11.21	Nuno Borges - Elias Ymer	2:0 ✺
01.11.21	Nuno Borges - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWW

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