Match Info

Date: 30 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York)


	Fabio Fognini		Aslan Karatsev

	1	2
	2.1	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.7
	2.16	1.7
	2.11	1.73
	2.21	1.75
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.14	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.22)	1.72 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabio Fognini
44.7%

Aslan Karatsev
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.4%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabio Fognini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Aslan Karatsev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabio Fognini than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aslan Karatsev than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.8%	0%	54.2%

Fabio Fognini - Aslan Karatsev Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Fognini will win (votes: 22 - 45.8%). Karatsev will win (votes: 26 - 54.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Karatsev: 40.1% – 68.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Recent matches Fognini is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Karatsev is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Karatsev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabio Fognini
ATP Winston-Salem
23.08.22	Fabio Fognini - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
22.08.22	Fabio Fognini - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
17.08.22	Fabio Fognini - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
16.08.22	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Fabio Fognini	0:2 ✺
14.08.22	Marcos Giron - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLWL
- Aslan Karatsev
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.22	Aslan Karatsev - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	1:2 ✺
15.08.22	Aslan Karatsev - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
09.08.22	Aslan Karatsev - Maxime Cressy	0:2 ✺
ATP Washington
03.08.22	Aslan Karatsev - Mikael Ymer	1:2 ✺
ATP Kitzbuhel
27.07.22	Dusan Lajovic - Aslan Karatsev	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWLLL

Fabio Fognini - Aslan Karatsev: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide