Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 11 (Italy), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday


	Fabrizio Andaloro		Marcello Serafini

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.19	1.58
	2.29	1.58
	2.21	1.59	Watch
	2.2	1.62
	2.22	1.6	Watch
	2.19	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.83)	1.59 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabrizio Andaloro
41.7%

Marcello Serafini
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabrizio Andaloro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabrizio Andaloro's form might have worsened.

Marcello Serafini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marcello Serafini's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabrizio Andaloro than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabrizio Andaloro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marcello Serafini than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marcello Serafini, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fabrizio Andaloro - Marcello Serafini Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Andaloro is ranked ATP: 596. Serafini is ranked ATP: 433.

Recent matches Andaloro is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Serafini is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Serafini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Andaloro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabrizio Andaloro
ITF Tournaments
05.10.24	Chris Rodesch - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Fabrizio Andaloro	0:2 ✺
03.10.24	Luc Fomba - Fabrizio Andaloro	1:2 ✺
01.10.24	Miles Jones - Fabrizio Andaloro	1:2 ✺
26.09.24	Carles Hernandez - Fabrizio Andaloro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL
- Marcello Serafini
ITF Tournaments
07.10.24	Marcello Serafini - Nerman Fatic	0:2 ✺
02.10.24	Alberto Bronzetti - Marcello Serafini	2:1 ✺
30.09.24	Jacopo Bilardo - Marcello Serafini	1:2 ✺
24.09.24	Marcello Serafini - Jacopo Bilardo	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Moez Echargui - Marcello Serafini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
25.09.23	Fabrizio Andaloro - Marcello Serafini	2:1

Fabrizio Andaloro - Marcello Serafini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide