The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Facundo Bagnis 39.9%
Corentin Moutet 60.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
54.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
53.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Facundo Bagnis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Facundo Bagnis's form might have worsened.
Corentin Moutet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Corentin Moutet's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Bagnis than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Facundo Bagnis, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Corentin Moutet than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Corentin Moutet, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
24.5%
0%
75.5%
Facundo Bagnis - Corentin Moutet Predictions
Users Predictions:
53 users predict this event. Bagnis will win (votes: 13 - 24.5%). Moutet will win (votes: 40 - 75.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Moutet: 63.9% – 87.1%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Recent matches Bagnis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Moutet is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Moutet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Moutet will have a mini benefit in this match.
Our prediction for today's Moutet to win the game is with odds 1.57.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Bagnis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.