Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Jinan (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday


	Fang Ying Xun		Polina Iatcenko

	1	2
			Watch
	3.75	1.22
	3.4	1.25
	3.66	1.25
	3.49	1.26	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.59	1.26	Watch
	3.4	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.7)	1.26 ↓ (1.4)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fang Ying Xun
26.4%

Polina Iatcenko
73.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

65.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

64.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fang Ying Xun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fang Ying Xun's form might have worsened.

Polina Iatcenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polina Iatcenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fang Ying Xun than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fang Ying Xun, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polina Iatcenko than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polina Iatcenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fang Ying Xun - Polina Iatcenko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Xun is ranked WTA: 696. Iatcenko is ranked WTA: 442.

Recent matches Xun is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Iatcenko is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Iatcenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Iatcenko will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fang Ying Xun
ITF Tournaments
14.08.24	Fang Ying Xun - Zi Ye Zhang	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Fang Ying Xun - Riya Bhatia	2:0 ✺
26.07.24	Zongyu Li - Fang Ying Xun	2:1 ✺
26.07.24	Meiqi Guo - Fang Ying Xun	1:2 ✺
24.07.24	Fang Ying Xun - Xinxin Yao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWLWW
- Polina Iatcenko
ITF Tournaments
20.08.24	Polina Iatcenko - Sarah-Rebecca Sekulic	0:2 ✺
19.07.24	Hina Inoue - Polina Iatcenko	Iatcenko P. retired ✺
17.07.24	Zhuoma Ni Ma - Polina Iatcenko	0:2 ✺
16.07.24	Ruirui Zou - Polina Iatcenko	Zou R. retired ✺
13.07.24	Fangzhou Liu - Polina Iatcenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 L?W?L

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