Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Kyoto, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kyoto 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Fangran Tian		Haruka Kaji

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Fangran Tian
62.4%

Haruka Kaji
37.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.4%

42.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fangran Tian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Haruka Kaji has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fangran Tian than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haruka Kaji than the current prediction. (+5%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Tian is ranked WTA: 265. Kaji is ranked WTA: 310.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Kaji may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tian is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Haruka Kaji - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.59%, but this team recently wins 8% of matches with these odds.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fangran Tian
ITF Tournaments
09.03.26	Lin Zhu - Fangran Tian	Zhu L. retired ✺
20.02.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Fangran Tian	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Erika Andreeva - Fangran Tian	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Fangran Tian - Harriet Dart	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Polina Iatcenko - Fangran Tian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 ?LWWL
- Haruka Kaji
ITF Tournaments
10.03.26	Hiromi Abe - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Xinyu Gao - Haruka Kaji	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Mayuka Aikawa - Haruka Kaji	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Mina Hodzic - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
19.02.26	Amandine Monnot - Haruka Kaji	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL

Fangran Tian - Haruka Kaji