Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Philadelphia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 August 2026, Monday


	Fangran Tian		Lucciana Perez Alarcon

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.48	2.54
	1.46	2.65
	1.53	2.57
	1.48	2.49	Watch
	1.51	2.53
	1.47	2.50	Watch
	1.50	2.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	2.51 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Fangran Tian
62.6%

Lucciana Perez Alarcon
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fangran Tian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lucciana Perez Alarcon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fangran Tian than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucciana Perez Alarcon than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Fangran Tian - Lucciana Perez Alarcon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Tian is ranked WTA: 257. Perez Alarcon is ranked WTA: 334.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Tian could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fangran Tian
ITF Tournaments
05.08.26	Fangran Tian - Mayu Crossley	0:2 ✺
02.07.26	Savannah Broadus - Fangran Tian	2:1 ✺
01.07.26	Kylie Collins - Fangran Tian	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Fangran Tian - Amandine Hesse	1:2 ✺
25.06.26	Fangran Tian - Viola Turini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW
- Lucciana Perez Alarcon
ITF Tournaments
08.08.26	Georgia Pedone - Lucciana Perez Alarcon	2:1 ✺
07.08.26	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Lorena Schaedel	2:0 ✺
07.08.26	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Ana Victoria Gobbi Monllau	2:0 ✺
04.08.26	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Melina Maria Maruca	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Lucciana Perez Alarcon - Daria Egorova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWWWL

Upcoming Matches