Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Nakhon Pathom 3, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday


	Fangran Tian		Sakura Hosogi

	1	2
	1.33	2.95
	1.3	3.2
	1.33	3.15
	1.21	3.80	Watch
	1.31	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.69)	3.26 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fangran Tian
71.6%

Sakura Hosogi
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fangran Tian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fangran Tian's performance.

Sakura Hosogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sakura Hosogi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fangran Tian than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fangran Tian that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakura Hosogi than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sakura Hosogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fangran Tian - Sakura Hosogi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tian is ranked WTA: 584. Hosogi is ranked WTA: 298.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Hosogi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tian is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fangran Tian
ITF Tournaments
28.08.25	Anchisa Chanta - Fangran Tian	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Fangran Tian - Dayeon Back	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Fangran Tian - Ekaterina Reyngold	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Patcharin Cheapchandej - Fangran Tian	2:0 ✺
22.08.25	Fangran Tian - Yuhan Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWWLW
- Sakura Hosogi
ITF Tournaments
27.08.25	Gaeul Jang - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Tanuchaporn Yongmod - Sakura Hosogi	Yongmod T. retired ✺
24.07.25	Sakura Hosogi - Ashley Lahey	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Sakura Hosogi - Mouna Bouzgarrou	2:0 ✺
20.07.25	Yeon Woo Ku - Sakura Hosogi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 L?LWW

Fangran Tian - Sakura Hosogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide