Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Bytom, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Bytom 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Federica Urgesi		Justina Mikulskyte

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.42	2.65
	1.49	2.65
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.47	2.6
	1.43	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)	2.6 (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
64.2%

Justina Mikulskyte
35.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Justina Mikulskyte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federica Urgesi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Justina Mikulskyte than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Justina Mikulskyte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Federica Urgesi - Justina Mikulskyte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 275. Mikulskyte is ranked WTA: 238.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Urgesi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Justina Mikulskyte - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 35.32%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
26.08.26	Dalila Jakupovic - Federica Urgesi	Jakupovic D. Retired ✺
05.08.26	Federica Urgesi - Martha Matoula	0:2 ✺
04.08.26	Federica Urgesi - Amelie Van Impe	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Barbora Palicova - Federica Urgesi	2:1 ✺
29.07.26	Diana Martynov - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 ?LWLW
- Justina Mikulskyte
ITF Tournaments
26.08.26	Gina Feistel - Justina Mikulskyte	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.08.26	Justina Mikulskyte - Gabriela Knutson	0:2 ✺
05.08.26	Katarzyna Kawa - Justina Mikulskyte	1:2 ✺
04.08.26	Weronika Ewald - Justina Mikulskyte	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.07.26	Tilwith Di Girolami - Justina Mikulskyte	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Federica Urgesi - Isis Louise Van den Broek	✺
28.10.26	Federica Urgesi - Ann Akasha Ceuca	✺
- Justina Mikulskyte
ITF Tournaments
28.10.26	Justina Mikulskyte - Caterina Odorizzi	✺

Federica Urgesi - Justina Mikulskyte