Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Grenoble, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Federica Urgesi		Xinxin Yao

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.4	Watch
	1.52	2.54
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	1.44	2.63
	1.47	2.5	Watch
	1.41	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.64)	2.41 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
60.9%

Xinxin Yao
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Xinxin Yao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xinxin Yao than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Federica Urgesi - Xinxin Yao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Urgesi is ranked WTA: 463. Yao is ranked WTA: 505.

Urgesi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Yao is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Urgesi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Urgesi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
11.02.26	Federica Urgesi - Dune Vaissaud	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Federica Urgesi - Amelia Rajecki	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Eva Bennemann - Federica Urgesi	1:2 ✺
04.02.26	Alicia Dudeney - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
28.01.26	Federica Urgesi - Elena Malygina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWWL
- Xinxin Yao
ITF Tournaments
10.02.26	Xinxin Yao - Ayana Akli	2:1 ✺
06.02.26	Zongyu Li - Xinxin Yao	1:2 ✺
05.02.26	Xinxin Yao - Julie Belgraver	2:1 ✺
04.02.26	Xinxin Yao - Georgina Garcia Perez	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Xinxin Yao - Hibah Shaikh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWWL

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