Match Info

Date: 29 November 2021, Monday


	Federica Urgesi		Yue Yuan

	1	2
			Watch
	4.4	1.16
	4.2	1.16
	4.56	1.18
	4.5	1.17
	6.6	1.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.85 ↑ (2.78)	1.15 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federica Urgesi
19.2%

Yue Yuan
80.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

69.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federica Urgesi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federica Urgesi's form might have worsened.

Yue Yuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Yue Yuan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federica Urgesi than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federica Urgesi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yue Yuan than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yue Yuan, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Federica Urgesi - Yue Yuan Predictions

Users Predictions: Yue Yuan will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Yuan could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Urgesi is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federica Urgesi
ITF Tournaments
20.11.21	Federica Urgesi - Melania Delai	0:2 ✺
19.11.21	Laura Mair - Federica Urgesi	0:2 ✺
18.11.21	Federica Urgesi - Alicia Smith	2:1 ✺
13.11.21	Federica Urgesi - Petra Csabi	0:2 ✺
12.11.21	Federica Urgesi - Federica Bilardo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLW
- Yue Yuan
ITF Tournaments
22.11.21	Yue Yuan - Elsa Jacquemot	0:2 ✺
20.11.21	Yue Yuan - Anna Kubareva	0:2 ✺
19.11.21	Yue Yuan - Anastasia Kulikova	2:1 ✺
18.11.21	Yue Yuan - Lara Salden	2:0 ✺
16.11.21	Miriam Škoch - Yue Yuan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLWWW

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