Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 June 2025, Tuesday


	Federico Arnaboldi		Chun Hsin Tseng

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	3.3	1.28
	2.7	1.39
	2.86	1.4	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	2.77	1.41	Watch
	2.7	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.2)	1.37 ↓ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
31.9%

Chun Hsin Tseng
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

60.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Arnaboldi's form might have worsened.

Chun Hsin Tseng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chun Hsin Tseng's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Arnaboldi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chun Hsin Tseng than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chun Hsin Tseng, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Federico Arnaboldi - Chun Hsin Tseng Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Arnaboldi will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Tseng will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Arnaboldi (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Arnaboldi (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 185. Tseng is ranked ATP: 94.

Arnaboldi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tseng is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Arnaboldi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tseng is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Tseng will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arnaboldi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
27.05.25	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Maximilian Marterer	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Michael Mmoh	Arnaboldi F. walkover ✺
20.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.25	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Bublik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LL?WL
- Chun Hsin Tseng
ATP Challenger
07.06.25	Hugo Dellien - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:0 ✺
06.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Alejandro Tabilo	2:0 ✺
05.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Luca Van Assche	2:0 ✺
03.06.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roland Garros
20.05.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2
ATP Australian Open
05.01.25	Chun Hsin Tseng - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0

Federico Arnaboldi - Chun Hsin Tseng: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide