Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Selva Gardena, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Selva Gardena 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Federico Arnaboldi		Wojciech Marek

	1	2
	1.50	2.35
	1.45	2.55
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.51	2.4
	1.5	2.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.51)	2.4 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Arnaboldi
61.6%

Wojciech Marek
38.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Arnaboldi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Wojciech Marek has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wojciech Marek than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

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Preview

Arnaboldi is ranked ATP: 470., and Marek is ranked ATP: 1179..

Both players have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Marek may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Arnaboldi holding a narrow advantage.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Arnaboldi - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 60.57%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Arnaboldi
ITF Tournaments
27.10.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Gabriele Maria Piano	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Kalin Ivanovski	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Andrea de Marchi	2:1 ✺
29.09.26	Massimo Giunta - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Federico Arnaboldi - Svyatoslav Gulin	Gulin S. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLWL?
- Wojciech Marek
ITF Tournaments
27.10.26	Denis Constantin Spiridon - Wojciech Marek	1:2 ✺
16.10.26	Stefan Seifert - Wojciech Marek	2:0 ✺
15.10.26	Wojciech Marek - Melvin Kumar	2:1 ✺
14.10.26	Wojciech Marek - Trisztan Gubi	2:0 ✺
24.09.26	Eero Vasa - Wojciech Marek	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wojciech Marek
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Wojciech Marek - Manuel Plunger	✺

Federico Arnaboldi - Wojciech Marek

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Last Results with these Odds

Form

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