Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Tbilisi, hard - Final

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tbilisi 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Federico Cina		Saba Purtseladze

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.37	2.85	Watch
	1.4	3.13
	1.39	3.01	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.85	Watch
	1.37	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.63)	2.9 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Cina
67.7%

Saba Purtseladze
32.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.6%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.7%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Cina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Cina's performance.

Saba Purtseladze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Saba Purtseladze might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Cina than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Cina that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saba Purtseladze than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Saba Purtseladze could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Federico Cina - Saba Purtseladze Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cina (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Federico Cina will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cina is ranked ATP: 323. Purtseladze is ranked ATP: 286.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cina won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Cina - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 56.57%, but this team recently wins 89% of matches with these odds.

Saba Purtseladze - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Cina
ATP Challenger
23.05.25	Charles Broom - Federico Cina	1:2 ✺
22.05.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Ilya Snitari - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
19.05.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Federico Cina	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Cina	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWL
- Saba Purtseladze
ATP Challenger
23.05.25	Saba Purtseladze - Martin Damm	2:1 ✺
22.05.25	Daniil Glinka - Saba Purtseladze	1:2 ✺
21.05.25	Sergey Fomin - Saba Purtseladze	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Giles Hussey - Saba Purtseladze	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.05.25	Martin Damm - Saba Purtseladze	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.03.25	Federico Cina - Saba Purtseladze	2:0

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