Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Federico Coria		Francesco Forti

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.00	1.72
	2.05	1.65	Watch
	2.24	1.7
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.08	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.07)	1.66 (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
43.7%

Francesco Forti
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Francesco Forti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Federico Coria - Francesco Forti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Forti will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Coria is ranked ATP: 779. Forti is ranked ATP: 371.

Recent form of Coria has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Forti has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Coria may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Coria - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.54%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Kitzbuhel
18.07.26	Federico Coria - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
ATP Bastad
12.07.26	Federico Coria - Taro Daniel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.07.26	Federico Coria - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
07.07.26	Federico Coria - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	Blancaneaux G. Retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Federico Coria - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0.9 LLL?L
- Francesco Forti
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Federico Zeballos - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
13.07.26	Francesco Forti - Peter Makk	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Francesco Forti - Pietro Pampanin	2:0 ✺
07.07.26	Francesco Forti - Jack Loge	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LWLWL

Federico Coria - Francesco Forti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide