Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liege, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 July 2026, Thursday


	Federico Coria		Guy Den Ouden

	1	2
	3.00	1.34
	3.15	1.34
	3.31	1.35
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.09	1.32	Watch
	2.95	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.24)	1.33 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
29.8%

Guy Den Ouden
70.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Federico Coria's form might have worsened.

Guy Den Ouden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guy Den Ouden's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Federico Coria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guy Den Ouden than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guy Den Ouden, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Federico Coria - Guy Den Ouden Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Coria will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Den Ouden will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Coria is ranked ATP: 889. Den Ouden is ranked ATP: 244.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Den Ouden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Den Ouden will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Guy Den Ouden - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 58.95%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Federico Coria - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	Blancaneaux G. Retired ✺
ATP Wimbledon
24.06.26	Federico Coria - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
22.06.26	Federico Coria - Oliver Bonding	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.06.26	Nicolas Kicker - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Nicolas Kicker - Federico Coria	Coria F. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 ?LWL?
- Guy Den Ouden
ATP Challenger
07.07.26	Tsung-Hao Huang - Guy Den Ouden	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
22.06.26	Guy Den Ouden - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.26	Anton Matusevich - Guy Den Ouden	2:1 ✺
05.06.26	Guy Den Ouden - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
03.06.26	Matej Dodig - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW

Federico Coria - Guy Den Ouden: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide