Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MODENA (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 26 June 2023, Monday


	Federico Coria		Max Houkes

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.6
	1.23	4
	1.29	3.7
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.65	Watch
	1.24	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.32)	3.73 ↑ (3.13)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
74.9%

Max Houkes
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Max Houkes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Houkes than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Federico Coria - Max Houkes Predictions

Users Predictions: Federico Coria will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

In this match Coria is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Mariano Navone - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
16.06.23	Vitaliy Sachko - Federico Coria	2:1 ✺
15.06.23	Mohamed Safwat - Federico Coria	1:2 ✺
13.06.23	Daniel Michalski - Federico Coria	0:2 ✺
05.06.23	Harold Mayot - Federico Coria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWWL
- Max Houkes
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Max Houkes - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
16.06.23	Max Houkes - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
15.06.23	Max Houkes - Jonas Pelle Hartenstein	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	Max Houkes - Jack Karlsson Wistrand	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
24.05.23	Max Houkes - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
25.10.22	Federico Coria - Max Houkes	2:0

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