Match Info

Date: 21 September 2022, Wednesday


	Federico Coria		Steven Diez

	1	2
	1.16	5	Watch
	1.18	4.33
	1.16	5
	1.15	4.6
	1.17	5.19
	1.17	4.5
	1.17	4.75	Watch
	1.16	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.3)	4.78 ↑ (3.15)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Coria
80.4%

Steven Diez
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Coria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Federico Coria's performance.

Steven Diez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Steven Diez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Coria than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Coria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steven Diez than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Steven Diez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Federico Coria - Steven Diez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Coria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Diez is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Coria could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Coria is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Coria won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Coria
ATP Challenger
20.09.22	Federico Coria - Ramkumar Ramanathan	2:0 ✺
12.09.22	Federico Coria - Raul Brancaccio	0:2 ✺
07.09.22	Federico Coria - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
06.09.22	Federico Coria - Alexander Shevchenko	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
01.09.22	Federico Coria - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL
- Steven Diez
ATP Challenger
20.09.22	Steven Diez - Mirza Basic	2:0 ✺
19.09.22	Steven Diez - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Steven Diez - Davide Galoppini	2:0 ✺
12.09.22	Steven Diez - Max Hans Rehberg	0:2 ✺
11.09.22	Steven Diez - Luca Sanchez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
13.09.20	Federico Coria - Steven Diez	2:0

Federico Coria - Steven Diez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide