Match Info

Date: 5 October 2021, Tuesday


	Federico Gaio		Andrea Arnaboldi

	1	2
			Watch
	1.4	2.8
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.39	2.8
	1.41	2.94
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.35	3.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.49)	2.92 ↑ (2.55)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Gaio
67.8%

Andrea Arnaboldi
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Gaio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Andrea Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Federico Gaio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Arnaboldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Federico Gaio - Andrea Arnaboldi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

In this match Arnaboldi is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arnaboldi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Gaio
ATP San Diego
28.09.21	Federico Gaio - Diego Sebastian Schwartzman	0:2 ✺
26.09.21	Federico Gaio - Denis Kudla	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Steve Johnson - Federico Gaio	1:2 ✺
ATP Metz
19.09.21	Harold Mayot - Federico Gaio	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.21	Luciano Darderi - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWWLL
- Andrea Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
29.09.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Benjamin Hassan	1:2 ✺
25.09.21	Thiago Monteiro - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
22.09.21	Andrea Arnaboldi - Thai-Son Kwiatkowski	2:0 ✺
20.09.21	Joris De Loore - Andrea Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
14.09.21	Christopher Heyman - Andrea Arnaboldi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Italian Championship Men
26.06.20	Andrea Arnaboldi - Federico Gaio	2:1
ATP Challenger
06.09.16	Andrea Arnaboldi - Federico Gaio	2:1

Federico Gaio - Andrea Arnaboldi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide