Match Info

Date: 30 November 2021, Tuesday


	Federico Gaio		Julian Lenz

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.5
	1.47	2.6	Watch
	1.43	2.55
	1.48	2.69
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.38	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.48)	2.64 ↑ (2.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Federico Gaio
64.6%

Julian Lenz
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Federico Gaio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Julian Lenz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Gaio than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julian Lenz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Federico Gaio - Julian Lenz Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Gaio will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Lenz will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaio: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Gaio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gaio will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Federico Gaio
ATP Challenger
22.11.21	Tobias Kamke - Federico Gaio	2:0 ✺
12.11.21	Jack Draper - Federico Gaio	2:1 ✺
10.11.21	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
08.11.21	Nicola Kuhn - Federico Gaio	0:2 ✺
03.11.21	Federico Gaio - Evgeny Donskoy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWL
- Julian Lenz
ATP Challenger
25.11.21	Julian Lenz - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
23.11.21	Julian Lenz - Tim Van Rijthoven	2:1 ✺
17.11.21	Julian Lenz - Henri Laaksonen	0:2 ✺
16.11.21	Jack Draper - Julian Lenz	0:2 ✺
02.11.21	Henri Squire - Julian Lenz	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWLW?

Federico Gaio - Julian Lenz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide