Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Porto Alegre - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday


	Fermin Tenti		Leonardo Aboian

	1	2
			Watch
	10.5	1.01	Watch
	1.6	2.26
	9	1.05	Watch
	10.5	1.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.9 ↑ (1.73)	1.33 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fermin Tenti
14.4%

Leonardo Aboian
85.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fermin Tenti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-39.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fermin Tenti's form might have worsened.

Leonardo Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+39.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonardo Aboian's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fermin Tenti than the current prediction. (+37.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fermin Tenti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonardo Aboian than the current prediction. (-37.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonardo Aboian, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Fermin Tenti - Leonardo Aboian Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tenti will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Aboian will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tenti (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tenti is ranked ATP: 1052. Aboian is ranked ATP: 600.

Tenti is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aboian is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aboian could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenti won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fermin Tenti
ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Fermin Tenti - Mariano Kestelboim	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Fermin Tenti - Alejo Lorenzo Lingua Lavallen	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Lucio Ratti - Fermin Tenti	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Fermin Tenti - Franco Ribero	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.03.25	Fermin Tenti - Gilbert Soares Klier Junior	Tenti F. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LWWW?
- Leonardo Aboian
ATP Challenger
21.04.25	Leonardo Aboian - Lucio Ratti	Aboian L. retired ✺
23.03.25	Leonardo Aboian - Conner Huertas Del Pino	Aboian L. retired ✺
10.03.25	Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos - Leonardo Aboian	2:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ignacio Antonio Becerra Otarola - Leonardo Aboian	1:2 ✺
02.03.25	Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ??LWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
15.03.24	Leonardo Aboian - Fermin Tenti	0:2
07.11.23	Leonardo Aboian - Fermin Tenti	1:2
10.10.23	Fermin Tenti - Leonardo Aboian	0:2
20.04.22	Fermin Tenti - Leonardo Aboian	2:0
08.09.21	Leonardo Aboian - Fermin Tenti	0:2

Fermin Tenti - Leonardo Aboian: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide