Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday


	Filip Peliwo		Petr Bar-Biryukov

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.05	1.7
	1.93	1.78
	1.95	1.88
	1.00	13.43	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.84)	3.44 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filip Peliwo
65.3%

Petr Bar-Biryukov
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Peliwo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Filip Peliwo's performance.

Petr Bar-Biryukov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Petr Bar-Biryukov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Peliwo than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Filip Peliwo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Petr Bar-Biryukov than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Petr Bar-Biryukov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Filip Peliwo - Petr Bar Biryukov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bar-Biryukov (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Petr Bar-Biryukov will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Peliwo is ranked ATP: 535. Bar-Biryukov is ranked ATP: 322.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Peliwo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Peliwo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Filip Peliwo - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Petr Bar-Biryukov - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Peliwo
ATP Challenger
25.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
15.08.25	Koki Matsuda - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Niccolo Catini - Filip Peliwo	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Bill Chan - Filip Peliwo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWW
- Petr Bar-Biryukov
ITF Tournaments
10.08.25	Egor Gerasimov - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Erik Arutiunian - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Evgeny Philippov - Petr Bar-Biryukov	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Zangar Nurlanuly - Petr Bar-Biryukov	Nurlanuly Z. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.10.21	Filip Peliwo - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:1

Filip Peliwo - Petr Bar-Biryukov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide