Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Poznan (Poland), clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 August 2024, Friday


	Filip Pieczonka		Alec Beckley

	1	2
	1.45	2.5
	1.43	2.55
	1.43	2.75
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.44	2.65	Watch
	1.43	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.71)	2.6 ↑ (2.01)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filip Pieczonka
64.4%

Alec Beckley
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Pieczonka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Filip Pieczonka's performance.

Alec Beckley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alec Beckley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Pieczonka than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Filip Pieczonka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alec Beckley than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alec Beckley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Filip Pieczonka - Alec Beckley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pieczonka is ranked ATP: 952. Beckley is ranked ATP: 837.

Pieczonka is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Beckley is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pieczonka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Pieczonka
ITF Tournaments
22.08.24	Filip Pieczonka - Federico Bondioli	2:0 ✺
20.08.24	Hynek Barton - Filip Pieczonka	0:2 ✺
11.08.24	Filip Pieczonka - Ben Jones	0:2 ✺
10.08.24	Filip Pieczonka - Brian Bozemoj	2:0 ✺
09.08.24	Conor Gannon - Filip Pieczonka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWLWW
- Alec Beckley
ITF Tournaments
22.08.24	Alec Beckley - Deney Wassermann	2:0 ✺
21.08.24	Alec Beckley - Piotr Siekanowicz	2:0 ✺
18.08.24	Pawel Juszczak - Alec Beckley	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Alec Beckley - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Alec Beckley - Mariano Dedura-Palomero	Dedura-Palomero M. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWW?

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