Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cleveland (USA) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 27 January 2025, Monday


	Filip Pieczonka		Taha Baadi

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.7	2.03	Watch
	1.46	2.63
	1.49	2.52	Watch
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.7	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.88)	2.34 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Filip Pieczonka
60.1%

Taha Baadi
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

50.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Filip Pieczonka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Filip Pieczonka's performance.

Taha Baadi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taha Baadi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Pieczonka than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Filip Pieczonka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taha Baadi than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taha Baadi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Filip Pieczonka - Taha Baadi Predictions

Users Predictions: Filip Pieczonka will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pieczonka is ranked ATP: 789. Baadi is ranked ATP: 749.

Pieczonka is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Baadi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Filip Pieczonka
ATP Challenger
26.01.25	Felix Corwin - Filip Pieczonka	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.01.25	Olaf Pieczkowski - Filip Pieczonka	Pieczkowski O. walkover ✺
09.01.25	Filip Pieczonka - Vito Tonejc	2:0 ✺
08.01.25	Martyn Pawelski - Filip Pieczonka	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Nikola Slavic - Filip Pieczonka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 W?WWW
- Taha Baadi
ATP Challenger
26.01.25	Benjamin Pomeranets - Taha Baadi	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.12.24	Taha Baadi - Eero Vasa	0:2 ✺
11.12.24	Kilian Feldbausch - Taha Baadi	Feldbausch K. retired ✺
29.11.24	Miles Jones - Taha Baadi	2:1
29.11.24	Nicolas Jadoun - Taha Baadi	0:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WL?LW

Filip Pieczonka - Taha Baadi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide