Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Setubal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2026, Wednesday


	Finn Murgett		Diogo Marques

	1	2
			Watch
	1.24	3.50
	1.30	3.20	Watch
	1.24	3.6	Watch
	1.25	3.8
	1.23	3.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)	3.54 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Finn Murgett
73.9%

Diogo Marques
26.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Finn Murgett has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Diogo Marques has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Finn Murgett - Diogo Marques Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Murgett is ranked ATP: 980., and Marques is ranked ATP: 1358..

Murgett has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Murgett may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Murgett for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Murgett has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:2 (averaging 2:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Murgett
ITF Tournaments
17.09.26	Finn Murgett - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Finn Murgett - Gian Luca Tanner	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Goncalo Marques - Finn Murgett	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Finn Murgett - Ryan Colby	2:0 ✺
09.09.26	Finn Murgett - Diogo Marques	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLWW
- Diogo Marques
ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Finn Murgett - Diogo Marques	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Diogo Marques - Toufik Sahtali	1:2 ✺
27.05.26	Nicolas Tepmahc - Diogo Marques	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Goncalo Marques - Diogo Marques	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Diogo Marques - Tomas Curras Abasolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.09.26	Finn Murgett - Diogo Marques	2:1
26.06.25	Finn Murgett - Diogo Marques	2:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Finn Murgett
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Finn Murgett - George Loffhagen	✺
21.10.26	Sebastian Sorger - Finn Murgett	✺

Finn Murgett - Diogo Marques: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide