Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Toronto, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Fiona Crawley		Kayla Day

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.43	Watch
	2.34	1.52	Watch
	2.65	1.43	Watch
	2.62	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.24)	1.46 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fiona Crawley
36.3%

Kayla Day
63.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fiona Crawley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fiona Crawley's form might have worsened.

Kayla Day has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kayla Day's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fiona Crawley than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayla Day than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Fiona Crawley - Kayla Day Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Crawley is ranked WTA: 285. Day is ranked WTA: 259.

Recent form of Crawley has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Day's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Day may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Day could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Crawley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fiona Crawley
ITF Tournaments
14.10.25	Fiona Crawley - Olivia Gadecki	1:2 ✺
08.10.25	Elizabeth Mandlik - Fiona Crawley	2:1 ✺
02.10.25	Fiona Crawley - Iryna Shymanovich	1:2 ✺
01.10.25	Veronica Miroshnichenko - Fiona Crawley	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Emina Bektas - Fiona Crawley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Kayla Day
ITF Tournaments
24.10.25	Olivia Gadecki - Kayla Day	2:1 ✺
23.10.25	Kayla Day - Carmen Andreea Herea	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Malaika Rapolu - Kayla Day	1:2 ✺
16.10.25	Kayla Day - Darja Vidmanova	0:2 ✺
15.10.25	Mary Lewis - Kayla Day	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.08.25	Fiona Crawley - Kayla Day	2:0

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