Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Tolentino - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 14 September 2025, Sunday


	Francesca Curmi		Angelica Raggi

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.27	3.54	Watch
	1.34	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)	3.12 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
70%

Angelica Raggi
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Angelica Raggi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Angelica Raggi than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Francesca Curmi - Angelica Raggi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 328. Raggi is ranked WTA: 704.

Curmi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Raggi is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Raggi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Curmi might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Curmi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ATP Challenger
07.09.25	Carson Branstine - Francesca Curmi	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Enola Chiesa - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.08.25	Francesca Curmi - Mina Hodzic	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Anouk Koevermans - Francesca Curmi	2:1 ✺
06.08.25	Alice Tubello - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LWLLW
- Angelica Raggi
ITF Tournaments
13.09.25	Angelica Raggi - Marta Lombardini	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Angelica Raggi - Laura Boehner	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Angelica Raggi - Silvia Alletti	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Jennifer Ruggeri - Angelica Raggi	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	Gloria Ceschi - Angelica Raggi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
17.04.22	Angelica Raggi - Francesca Curmi	2:1

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