Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Solarino 3 (Italy), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 March 2025, Thursday


	Francesca Curmi		Jessica Pieri

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.87	1.87	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.85	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.19)	1.85 ↑ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
50%

Jessica Pieri
50%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.3%

58.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Francesca Curmi's performance.

Jessica Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Francesca Curmi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Francesca Curmi - Jessica Pieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 425. Pieri is ranked WTA: 446.

Curmi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Pieri is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
19.03.25	Sara Milanese - Francesca Curmi	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Yuriko Lily Miyazaki - Francesca Curmi	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Amandine Monnot - Francesca Curmi	1:2 ✺
06.03.25	Francesca Curmi - Clarissa Blomqvist	2:0 ✺
05.03.25	Francesca Curmi - Laura Hietaranta	Hietaranta L. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLWW?
- Jessica Pieri
ITF Tournaments
18.03.25	Noemi La Cagnina - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Jessica Pieri - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Vendula Valdmannova - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
06.03.25	Miriana Tona - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Lavinia Luciano - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWW

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