Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Selva Gardena (Italy), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 November 2024, Tuesday


	Francesca Curmi		Martyna Kubka

	1	2
	2.2	1.57
	2.15	1.6
	2.24	1.6
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.61	Watch
	2.15	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.83)	1.6 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Curmi
42.3%

Martyna Kubka
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Curmi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesca Curmi's form might have worsened.

Martyna Kubka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Martyna Kubka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Curmi than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesca Curmi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martyna Kubka than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Martyna Kubka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Francesca Curmi - Martyna Kubka Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Curmi will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Kubka will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Curmi is ranked WTA: 417. Kubka is ranked WTA: 402.

Curmi is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kubka is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kubka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Curmi
ITF Tournaments
17.11.24	Francesca Curmi - Kristina Dmitruk	Curmi F. retired ✺
16.11.24	Francesca Curmi - Jodie Anna Burrage	2:1 ✺
15.11.24	Daria Snigur - Francesca Curmi	Snigur D. retired ✺
14.11.24	Francesca Curmi - Yasmine Mansouri	2:0 ✺
12.11.24	Francesca Curmi - Sara Borkop	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 ?W?WW
- Martyna Kubka
ITF Tournaments
22.11.24	Susan Bandecchi - Martyna Kubka	2:0 ✺
21.11.24	Jaeda Daniel - Martyna Kubka	Daniel J. retired ✺
20.11.24	Martyna Kubka - Lucia Cortez Llorca	2:0 ✺
13.11.24	Martyna Kubka - Jodie Anna Burrage	0:2 ✺
24.10.24	Martyna Kubka - Emeline Dartron	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 L?WLL

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