Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula 9, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Francesca Gandolfi		Matilde Paoletti

	1	2
			Watch
	3.90	1.20
	4	1.2
	3.84	1.21	Watch
	4.05	1.22
	3.81	1.17	Watch
	3.55	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (3.2)	1.21 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 19.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesca Gandolfi
23.8%

Matilde Paoletti
76.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

68.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesca Gandolfi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesca Gandolfi's form might have worsened.

Matilde Paoletti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Matilde Paoletti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesca Gandolfi than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesca Gandolfi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matilde Paoletti than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Matilde Paoletti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Francesca Gandolfi - Matilde Paoletti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Gandolfi is ranked WTA: 635., and Paoletti is ranked WTA: 728..

Each of the two players is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Bookmakers give the edge to Paoletti for this game.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesca Gandolfi
ITF Tournaments
17.09.26	Francesca Gandolfi - Franziska Sziedat	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Verena Meliss - Francesca Gandolfi	1:2 ✺
11.09.26	Francesca Gandolfi - Eleonora Alvisi	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Francesca Gandolfi - Celeste Faustini	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Francesca Gandolfi - Federica Trevisan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLWL
- Matilde Paoletti
ITF Tournaments
18.09.26	Alisa Oktiabreva - Matilde Paoletti	2:0 ✺
17.09.26	Matilde Paoletti - Daria Yesypchuk	2:1 ✺
16.09.26	Maria Toma - Matilde Paoletti	0:2 ✺
11.09.26	Marianne Argyrokastriti - Matilde Paoletti	2:0 ✺
10.09.26	Matilde Paoletti - Diletta Cherubini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWLW

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