Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Nova Gorica, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 July 2026, Wednesday


	Francesco Ferrari		Vincent Dullinger

	1	2
	1.78	1.90
	1.68	2.05
	1.88	1.94
	1.84	1.84	Watch
	1.85	1.92
	1.83	1.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.55)	1.92 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francesco Ferrari
51.4%

Vincent Dullinger
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.7%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francesco Ferrari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Francesco Ferrari's form might have worsened.

Vincent Dullinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vincent Dullinger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Ferrari than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Francesco Ferrari, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vincent Dullinger than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vincent Dullinger, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Francesco Ferrari - Vincent Dullinger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ferrari is ranked ATP: 1410. Dullinger is ranked ATP: 1553.

Ferrari is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dullinger's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferrari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ferrari is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francesco Ferrari
ITF Tournaments
02.07.26	Francesco Ferrari - Massimo Giunta	0:2 ✺
01.07.26	Ali Missoum - Francesco Ferrari	Missoum A. Retired ✺
24.06.26	Reda Bennani - Francesco Ferrari	2:0 ✺
04.06.26	Francesco Ferrari - Denis Klok	1:2 ✺
03.06.26	Peetu Pohjola - Francesco Ferrari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 L?LLW
- Vincent Dullinger
ITF Tournaments
26.06.26	Lucio Ratti - Vincent Dullinger	2:0 ✺
25.06.26	Vincent Dullinger - Jeremy Gschwendtner	2:1 ✺
24.06.26	Vincent Dullinger - Nicolo Toffanin	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Vincent Dullinger - Marlon Vankan	1:2 ✺
11.06.26	Henry Bernet - Vincent Dullinger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL

Francesco Ferrari - Vincent Dullinger: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide